Since 2021, Forward Majority has published projections of electoral trends at the statewide and state legislative district level. Districts our model expects to be highly competitive in scenarios where majority control of a chamber is in play in 2030 are called “tipping-point” districts. These may or may not be the same districts that are competitive today. That’s the value of our model: it’s an informed way to plan ahead.
Read the full report here: Forward Majority Tipping Point Model Report June 2026